Monday, February 16, 2009

Spring Position Battles

Spring football begins March 25th. Iowa brings 8 returning starters back to the defense and 6 to the offense. In addition the special teams return all the key players. I am going to focus on what positions will be up for grabs and who the likely suspects are to fill the spots that have been left open. There are some huge shoes to fill with the departures of 4 year starters Mitch King and Matt Kroul at defensive tackle along with Doak Walker winner tailback Shonn Greene. At the end of this post I will give my best guess at a Phil Steele style 3 deep depth chart including this season's just signed recruiting class. I will not include any of the recruits in the spring discussion as I think only Jake Reisen and Anthony Schiavone are on campus now and I don't see them pushing for time at all this season.

One thing that is almost more important than who wins these jobs is who fills the leadership void being left by King, Kroul, Bruggy, and Olsen. The dip of '06 and '07 have been laid as much on off field problems as on field perfomance. Listening to Mitch King and Matt Kroul it is pretty obvious that they bled Black and Gold. I think that DJK has done a nice job in interviews and has some leadership ability. AJ Edds and Pat Angerer have also impressed me. Others are going to need to pick up the slack and help rebuild Iowa into a consistent winner. It is imperative that Iowa doesn't take a step back in the off season and off the field after they have seemed to re-establish momentum on it.

Defense is really where it all starts for Iowa and so that is where I will begin.

Defensive Tackle: Lost- Mitch King, Matt Kroul; The candidates: Karl Klug, Broderick Binns, Chad Geary, Cody Hundertmark, Mike Daniels

Spud's Spin- You can pencil Klug in for one of these spots, but it really depends on who is going to play next to him. I have heard that Binns will move to Tackle because both Ballard and Clayborn feel their future in the NFL is at Defensive End. If you look at what Iowa has done recently this actually fits pretty well with Norm's scheme. I think that if Binns adapts well to DT, Geary stays at End. Hundertmark is a big body and played well in his true freshman year of 2007. He took his red shirt last season. Daniels also flashed some ability early last season and has a reputation as a very strong player. I explect Klug to play the Nose and Binns to play more of the Undertackle role. Since Kaczenski has taken over for Aiken it seems that more players have rotated in and out and Iowa seems to have built in some depth at this position.

Corner: Lost- Bradley Fletcher; The candidates: Jordan Bernstine, Shaun Prater, Willie Lowe, Chris Rowell

Spud's Spin- This could be a very intense battle and will probably spill into the season. Bernstine has all the tools and has seen the field a lot in nickel and dime situations, but Prater obviously made enough of an impression on the staff to play as a true freshman. He could be one of those "diamond in the rough" types as his twin brother was the more sought after recruit. Also from what I understand both starting safties could be out of spring ball after undergoing surgery following the Outback Bowl possibly pressing Bernstine into that role during spring drills. Lowe is another player who saw limited action as true freshman and is rumored to be amongst the speediest players on the team. Chris Rowell impressed last season on special teams and the staff seems to reward upperclassmen by placing them high on the depth chart heading into the season. There are some rumors that he is no longer pursuing football, however. I expect Bernstine to win the job if he stays healthy. Prater will see plenty of PT also.

Now onto the offense. There are plenty of holes to fill here, but it is wonderful to not have a QB controversy to fill the off season tedium. Well.........

Backup QB: Lost- Jake Christensen; The candidates: James Vandenberg, John Wienke

Spud's spin: I really have no idea. I have watched them warm up before one home game. One is right handed, one is left handed. This is a hilarious topic on message boards. Vandenberg set all kinds of Iowa high school records, is the right hander, and is the favorite of Tommy from Des Moines. In fact, I think that The Govenor wanted to see him last season. John Wienke is 6'5" 225 (recruited size), jilted Michigan after Rich Rod was hired, and is left handed which makes some fans cringe because it reminds them of Jake. This won't be settled until Stanzi graduates or is seriously injured so that neither of them transfers.

Tailback: Lost- Shonn Greene; The candidates: Jewel Hampton, Jeff Brinson, Adam Robinson, Paki O'Meara

Spud's spin: This would seem to be Hampton's job to lose. He had a fantastic freshman year backing up Shonn Greene. However he won't be running behind exactly the same line. It might be as good, could be better, might be a shade worse, we won't know until the Penn State game. He also won't be spelling Greene, he will be carrying the load. I think Brinson will get his share of carries as Coach Ferentz spoke glowingly about him during the lead up to the bowl. A lot of compliments have slipped out of Iowa City about Adam Robinson, too. Paki O'Meara's future looks to be special teams and perhaps a role as a 3rd down back. He has shown some ability in both pass blocking and pass catching and again this coaching staff has a tendency to reward upper classmen with playing time if they view a position as fairly even. I expect Hampton to be the starter coming out of spring ball with Brinson a close number two.

Center: Lost- Rob Bruggeman; The candidates: Rafael Eubanks, Josh Koeppel, James Ferentz

Spud's spin: Eubanks lost his job to Bruggeman twice, once in 2007 and again in 2008. Bruggeman was lost for basically the entire 2007 season so Eubanks ended up keeping the center job in 2007 but was moved to guard last season. He was listed as a co- starter with Julian Vandervelde but eventually lost that battle and was a backup for most of last season. He has really battled a lot of injuries throughout his career. Koeppel played more in 2007 than he did last season and is really undersized. If he is able to gain strength and size he could push for a starting position. Ferentz is obviously the Wild Card in this battle. He is the coach's son so his is expected to have above average knowledge of the game. He has good size for his age and is supposed to compare favorably to his brother(Brian). One thing that could hold him back was his six week suspension from the team last season for a MIP. I expect Eubanks to hold off all comers and win this position. Center is the quaterback of the line and experience is cherished by this coaching staff.

Right Guard: Lost- Seth Olsen; The candidates: Dan Doering, Andy Kuempel, Travis Meade, Adam Gettis, Casey McMillan

Spud's spin: This looks like Dan Doering's job to lose as I have read that Kuempel is out for spring. Meade started 7 games in '07 and barely played in '08. Gettis is a player that I keep hearing and reading about but it is hard to see him winning a starting job yet. McMillan has the size but is only entering his second semester of college. When Doering has been healthy (the story of the recruiting class of 2005) he has played very, very well. He has been dinged up his entire career but because of his natural abilities and Iowa's reputation could still be on the NFL's radar. He needs to win this job. I am betting he will win this battle.

Wide Out: Lost- Andy Brodell; The candidates: Trey Stross, Colin Sandeman, Paul Chaney Jr., Marvin McNutt, Shane Prater

Spud's spin: Iowa tends to rotate at least 4 wide outs per game and has run a lot more 3 wide receiver sets so many of these guys have some experience. Stross will probably be the leader for the first line and Sandeman has a good chance to push him because Stross lives in the training room. Chaney runs track in the spring and allegedly takes advantage of both coaching staffs to loaf. Maybe he has matured and that is all behind him because we could really use a speed threat like him. McNutt is an intriguing option at 6'4" and, you would assume, an understanding of the passing game moving over from quarterback. Prater was highly recruited and if he is athletic as his brother would be tantalizing in the slot (so KOK will use him on the outside). I would expect to see Stross' name next to DJK on the one line with Sandeman and Chaney backing them up again as a nod to upper classmen.

Tight End: Lost- Brandon Myers; The candidates: Tony Moeaki, Allen Reisner, Brad Herman, J.D. Griggs

Spud's spin: Iowa basically starts two tight ends in many of their alignments and last season even used three on occasion. Given the fragility of Moeaki, Herman and Griggs better be ready for prime time. Reisner really flashed last season showing soft hands, deep speed and the ability to find a hole in zone coverage. He could be the new Myers if Moeaki can't make it through the season. Herman saw some action early in the season and also played special teams while Griggs red shirted. Both are listed at 6' 5" but need to add some weight and strength to block in the Big Ten. Speed shouldn't be and issue for either of them.

Place Kicker: Lost- No One; The candidates: Daniel Murray, Trent Mossbrucker

Murray made the biggest kick of Iowa's season last year when he ruined Penn State season. I won't lie, I was outside my house chain smoking, cursing Ferentz, muttering," Where's Mossbrucker?" I didn't have a lot of confidence in Murray and it was my understanding that Mossbrucker handled the kicks from inside 40 but hey I'm not complaning now. I think that this season one of them will be the full time kicker and it is possible that the loser of this job may transfer as soon this spring, especially if it is Mossbrucker. Iowa's style of play dictates the necessity of a clean kicking game so I would prefer to keep both. If the coaches are smart they will name Mossbrucker the starter or at least Co-starter. I think the coaches are pretty smart.

Depth Chart Returning Starters in Bold
  • QB Ricky Stanzi JR James Vandenberg R.FR/John Wienke R.FR
  • TB Jewel Hampton SO Jeff Brinson R.FR/Paki O'Meara Jr Brandon Wegher FR
  • FB Brett Morse JR Wade Leppert SO Shane Di Bona FR
  • WR Derrel Johnson-Ko. JR Colin Sandeman JR Shane Prater R.FR
  • WR Trey Stross SR Paul Chaney Jr. JR Keenan Davis FR
  • TE Tony Moeaki SR Allen Reisner JR Brad Herman SO
  • LT Brian Bulaga JR Dace Richardson* SR Riley Reiff R.FR
  • LG Julian Vandervelde JR Adam Gettis SO Travis Meade SR
  • C Rafael Eubanks SR Josh Koeppel JR James Ferentz R.FR
  • RG Dan Doering SR Andy Keumpel SR Casey McMillan R.FR
  • RT Kyle Calloway SR Kyle Haganman JR Markus Zusevics SO
  • * That is if Dace returns healthy ** I expect the loser of the Doering/ Keumpal position battle to basically be the top backup at every other line position except center.
  • RDE Adrian Clayborn JR Chad Geary SR Joe Gaglione R.FR
  • DT Karl Klug JR Cody Hundertmark SO
  • DT Broderick Binns SO Mike Daniels SO
  • LDE Christian Ballard JR Steve Bigach R.FR Jason Semmes R.FR
  • LEO A.J. Edds SR Tyler Nielson SO Troy Johnson JR
  • Mike Pat Angerer SR Jacody Coleman JR Bruce Davis SO
  • Will Jeremiha Hunter JR Jeff Tarpinian JR Jake Reisen FR
  • CB Amari Spievey JR Willie Lowe SO Micah Hyde FR
  • SS Tyler Sash SO David Cato SO Greg Castillo R.FR
  • FS Brett Greenwood JR Jack Swanson R.FR
  • CB Jordan Bernstine JR Shaun Prater SO Chris Rowell SR
Some players whom I don't have listed that could make an impact: Jonathan Gimm, Tyler Detweiler, and Nick Kuchel

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Hawks in the NFL Draft (Pre-Combine)

This year's crop of Hawkeye's heading for future NFL paydays seems to be larger than usual. Shonn Greene and Mitch King headline the class with Greene looking to be the first underclassmen selected from Iowa since Dallas Clark. Bradley Fletcher, Seth Olsen, and Rob Bruggeman have also recieved combine invites. Brandon Myers is likely to be selected and Matt Kroul has an outside chance of hearing his name called and certainly will sign a free agent contract. Andy Brodell also has a chance to land a free agent contract.



Now for some Cliches- it only takes one team to fall in love with you, its not the size of the dog in the fight but the fight in the dog, and my personal favorite he's a football player. During the draft evaluation period you will hear the experts say those things a million times. Almost all of those cliches relate to Iowa's seniors other than Fletcher. Some teams that seem to collect Hawkeyes: San Diego, Indianapolis, and Green Bay. Teams that still have connections to Ferentz: San Diego, Baltimore, Cleveland, New England, and of course Kansas City.



Now for my terrible predictions(note these will change a little after the combine and free agency begins in earnest.)



Shonn Greene 5'11" 227 Rb
Projects as a one cut power back. Compares to Jamal Lewis.

Combine Invite: Yes

The Good: Most productive rushing season in Iowa history. Got better as season progressed. Not a lot of tread on the tire. Very humble with the media- always deflects credit.
Physical skills- underrated speed, incredible balance, underrated vision, very good power, underrated blocker in passing game(excellent in blitz pick up), great ball security.

The Bad: One year wonder(I know he isn't but most scouts don't), failure to qualify out of high school and lost season of college due to academics will cause alot of scrutiny to wonderlic and interviews at combine, rumors of weight fluctuations, not utilized as a pass catcher regularly, didn't always convert key 3rd and 4rth short situations(again I know it wasn't Shonn's fault 100%)

Teams that make sense: Arizona,Cincinnati, Cleveland, Denver, Houston, Jacksonville, Kansas City, NY Jets, San Diego

Projected Round 2nd


Mitch King 6'1" 275 Dt/De
Projects as a 3 technique or undertackle in a 4-3 or a 5 technique De in a 3-4. Compares to Raheem Brock

Combine Invite: Yes

The Good: 4 year starter heart and soul of Hawkeye defense. Incredible intagibles(will to win, leadership qualities, motor, and coachability). Will win the interview. Very productive in College. Plenty of highlights. Very good Senior Bowl week and Game.
Physical Skills: Incredible burst off the ball, understands leverage, great hands and technique, great motor, consistently beat double teams, has played a little De in college, will make hustle plays downfield, will play special teams

The Bad: Not impressive to look at, can be physically overwhelmed, must win the snap, may be limited by scheme.( I personally don't think that Mitch makes sense in a 3-4)

Teams that make sense: Arizona, Atlanta, Chicago, Houston, Indianapolis, Minnesota, Saint Louis, Tampa Bay, Tennessee

Projected: 3rd- 4th

Seth Olsen 6'5" 305 Og
Projects strictly as a guard, I don't see him as a Tackle(nor do any scouting sites). Compares to Ryan Lilja

Combine Invite: Yes

The Good: 3 year starter, very athletic for his size, excelled at East- West Shrine week and game, very mature(married)- another who will win the interview, has played multiple positions on the line
Physical Skills: Very good technician, understands leverage, can mirror in the pass game, good hips, gets to the second level and sticks to his block, can be used to pull(rare in the Iowa running game)

The Bad: Undersized for a typical NFL guard (305), really hurt by Iowa missing OSU and Michigan the last two seasons(hasn't faced elite competition on film), overwhelmed at tackle by elite speed, will be limited in scheme(not my opinion, just what I have read), always dinged up(but he usually played through the injuries in my opinion).

Teams that make sense: Atlanta, Carolina, Denver, Green Bay, Houston, Indianapolis, San Diego, Tennessee

Projected Round 4th-5th

Bradley Fletcher 6' 0" 203 Cb
Projects as a cover 2 corner. Compares to Charles Tillman

Combine Invite: Yes

The Good: Very good senior season, played alot more than most realize(plenty of film), another who excelled at the East- West Shrine week and game, will turn heads at the combine, has a chance to shoot up draft boards after he posts a sub 4.4 at the combine.
Physical Skills: Incredible closing burst, very aware in space, one of the best Iowa players in recent history of playing the ball, great size, very good tackler, played well on special teams.

The Bad: One year wonder(I don't think this is completely his fault, he should have started ahead of Shada), his hips are questionable because he doesn't play a ton of man, will be viewed as strictly a zone cb(again not completely his fault- see Godfrey, Charles), not an incredible leaper on game film( not really attacked with jump balls)

Teams that make sense: Chicago, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Minnesota, Philadelphia, Seattle, Tampa Bay,

Projected Round: * Fletcher is the huge Iowa sleeper of this draft right now he projects as a 4th- 5th but I say he goes in the 3rd.

Rob Bruggeman 6'3" 287 C
Projects as Center or a Guard. Compares to Brad Meester

Combine Invite: Yes

The Good: Bruggy is a feel good story, former walk on earns a scholly, overcomes injury, gets a combine invite. Another Intangilbes guy, very physical and very intelligent- will win the interview.
Physical Skills: Quick for a lineman, very good at the zone double and then finding the second level in the run game, understands the game- calls the signals for the O-line, understands leverage

The Bad: Probably not as big as I have listed, tough medical history, must excell at the combine to get a sniff, one year wonder( though not his fault- lost year to injury), will be viewed as limited to scheme(Zone), must really weigh 287

Teams that make sense: Atlanta, Carolina, Denver, Green Bay, Houston, Indianapolis, New England, San Diego

Projected Round: 7th or Undrafted free agent

Brandon Myers 6'4" 250 Te
Projects as a Tight End or H-Back. Compares to Matt Spaeth.

Combine Invite: No

The Good: Iowa's most consistent 3rd down target the last two seasons, very intense player, All Big Ten as a senior, sure to be on area scouts radar, has Iowa's reputation in his favor, the tight end free agent class in the NFL this season is terrible
Physical Skills: Rumored to have best hands on the team,above average after the catch, very athletic( going to UNI to play both football and B-ball before the Iowa offer came), very good run blocker, consistently won match up vs. defensive ends in pass blocking(Penn State game film will be crucial), played his best in biggest games, is an excellent special teams player

The Bad: Doesn't have a wow highlight( a victim of Iowa's Qb play during his tenure), could be viewed as undersized for a blocking tight end, really must excell at Iowa's Pro day, might be viewed as a finished product.

Teams that make sense: Arizona, Carolina, Indianapolis, Kansas City, Miami, New England, Seattle

Projected Round: 6th- 7th

Matt Kroul 6'3" 281 Dt
Projects as a 3 technique or undertackle in a 4-3. Compares to Chris Hovan

Combine Invite: No

The Good: The Soul to Mitch King's Heart. Didn't always draw the press that Mitch did but drew plenty of double teams to help him make plays. Also made his fair share of plays along the way. Started every game after his red- shirt season.
Physical Skills: Very strong for his size, understands leverage, very good hands, very good about reading the play(plays with his head up and sees the ball), will chase plays down from behind, controls his gap, understands his role(very disciplined).

The Bad: Not as big as I have listed( I am almost sure of this as I have had the pleasure of meeting him in person, what a classy man), can be overpowered at the point of the attack, must win the snap, not overly explosive, not going to win beauty contests for NFL body types.

Teams that make sense: Arizona, Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, Houston, Indianapolis, Minnesota, Saint Louis, Tampa Bay, Seattle

Projected Round: 7th- Undrafted free agent

Andy Brodell 6'3" 202 Wr
Projects as Wide Out and could return punts. Compares to Aaron Moorehead.

Combine Invite: No

The Good: Brodell's hands really seemed to improve this season. He also has some really nice highlight reels to send out to teams including the Alamo Bowl where he torched several current NFL Dbs for 163 yards. He also has this season's punt 83 yard punt return for a TD vs. Iowa State to add to it along with a very nice over the shoulder TD grab vs. Michigan State.
Physcal Skills: Very good size, solid understanding of the game, elite speed before injury, good run after catch skills, abilty to catch with his hands not his body, abilit to read zone coverage.

The Bad: Hasn't shown he has recovered fully from very bad injury(torn hamstring) suffered Junior year, questionable hands before senior season, never put up elite numbers during career, I don't recall him playing coverage teams during career at Iowa.

Teams that make sense: Baltimore, Cleveland, Miami, San Diego, Seattle, Tampa Bay, Washington

Projected Round: 7th- Undrafted free agent